CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
  • Justin Lonwijk 56' yellowcard
  • Immanuel Pherai 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Aparicio 59'
  • yellowcard José Rosales 73'
  • yellowcard S. Robles 76'
  • yellowcard Aarón Herrera 90'

Suriname vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.09% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Suriname 50.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Guatemala 24.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.19% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Suriname 33.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 46.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Guatemala 19.05% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Suriname 58.98% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Guatemala 33.32% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 47.5%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 40.9%
Over 9 36.58%
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 52.5%
Over 10.5 27.09%
Under 10.5 72.91%

Suriname Goals

Over 1.5 47.26%
Under 1.5 52.74%
Over 2.5 23.27%
Under 2.5 76.73%
Over 3.5 9.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 57.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 90.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Suriname 50.78%
Draw 25.08%
Guatemala 24.15%
Suriname
1-0 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 25.08%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.15%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Nov 19, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 10, 2025 10.00pm