CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 3.00am

Guatemala vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

El Salvador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guatemala win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for El Salvador has a probability of 30.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest El Salvador win is 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result

Guatemala 42.39%
Draw 26.7% ▲ (+0.04)
El Salvador 30.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.3% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 70.83% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.48% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Guatemala 29.48%
Draw 46.21%
El Salvador 24.31%

Team To Score First

Guatemala 49.57% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.3% ▲ (+0.02)
El Salvador 43.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.76%
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 33.7%
Over 9 45.17%
Equal 9 10.6%
Under 9 44.24%
Over 10.5 35.3%
Under 10.5 64.7%

Guatemala Goals

Over 1.5 41.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 18.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.83% ▲ (+0.02)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 65.32%
Under 0.5 34.68%
Over 1.5 31.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Guatemala 42.39%
Draw 26.68%
El Salvador 30.95%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 42.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 26.68%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.95%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 15, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 5, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2025 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Finley Stadium
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 89' goal
  • 89' goal
  • goal Darwin Lom 41'
  • goal Darwin Lom 41'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard 85'
International Friendlies
Jul 28, 2024 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Jefry Leonardo Bantes Rodriguez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 34'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 34'
  • goal 37'
  • yellowcard Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 70'
  • yellowcard Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 71'
  • goal Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 83'
  • goal Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 83'
  • yellowcard Melvin Cartagena 90'+2'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 8, 2023 3.10am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
  • Carlos Mejia 15' goal
  • Carlos Mejia 15' goal
  • Nicolas Samayoa 47' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 47' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Samayoa 47' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 47' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mejia 64' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mejia 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Altan 78' goal
  • Pedro Altan 78' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Martinez 16'
  • yellowcard Cristian Martinez 16'
International Friendlies
Apr 25, 2022 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 37' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Morales 25'
  • goal Oscar Santis 55'
  • goal Oscar Santis 59'
  • goal Stheven Robles 75'