Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.96% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%) , while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.