CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 1.00am

Guatemala vs Suriname - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

Suriname

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guatemala win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Suriname has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Suriname win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Guatemala 41.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.1% ▼ (-0.10)
Suriname 32.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 54.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.4% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 68.6% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.59% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Guatemala 31.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 44.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Suriname 23.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Guatemala 55.57% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Suriname 38.24% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 58.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 30.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 47.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 41.72% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 36.58% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 63.42% ▼ (-0.13)

Guatemala Goals

Over 1.5 43.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.96% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 80.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Guatemala 41.69%
Draw 26.1%
Suriname 32.19%
Guatemala
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.1%
Suriname
1-2 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.19%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
  • Justin Lonwijk 56' yellowcard
  • Immanuel Pherai 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Aparicio 59'
  • yellowcard José Rosales 73'
  • yellowcard S. Robles 76'
  • yellowcard Aarón Herrera 90'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Nov 19, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 10, 2025 10.00pm