CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 17, 2026 1.00am
Toronto Stadium

Canada vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2026 2.00am
Guatemala 2 - 3 Canada

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2026 2.00am
Guatemala 2 - 3 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Guatemala has a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.68%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (8.9%) , while for a Guatemala win it is 0-1 (4.66%).

Result

Canada 69.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 20.4%
Guatemala 10.16% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 45.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 75.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.21% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Canada 55.06%
Draw 34.78%
Guatemala 10.16%

Team To Score First

Canada 71.64% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Guatemala 19.46%

Corners

Over 8 65.11%
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 24.36%
Over 9 53.75%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 34.89%
Over 10.5 42.5%
Under 10.5 57.5%

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 56.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 43.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 31.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 68.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 13.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 86.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 36.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 63.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 10.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 89.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Canada 69.47%
Draw 20.4%
Guatemala 10.16%
Canada
1-0 @ 15.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 14.68%
3-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 13.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 69.47%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.4%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 10.16%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2026 2.00am
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Óscar Santis 54' goal
  • José Rosales 73' yellowcard
  • José Bolaños 81' yellowcard
  • Luc De Fougerolles 90'+4' goal
  • Matt Evans 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Tani Oluwaseyi 18'
  • goal Liam Millar 28'
  • yellowcard Niko Sigur 39'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 44'
  • goal Jonathan David 45'+2'
  • redcard Jesse Marsch 64'
International Friendlies
Jan 18, 2026 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Ralph Priso 21' yellowcard
  • Jeevan Singh Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago de Freitas Guimarães Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Jeevan Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 66' goal
  • Noah Abraham Sewonet Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 70' yellowcard
  • N. Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 81' yellowcard
  • Luka Gavran 81' yellowcard
  • Marius Aiyenero 81' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Samayoa 26'
  • yellowcard Jose Mario Rosales Marroquin 46'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dominic Evans Wolff 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Alexander Ramírez López 46'
  • yellowcard Damien Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard J. Rosales 46'
  • yellowcard M. Evans 46'
  • yellowcard K. Ramírez 46'
  • yellowcard D. Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard Jefry Leonardo Bantes Rodriguez 71'
  • yellowcard J. Bantes 71'
  • yellowcard José Rosales 72'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 29, 2025 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 2, 2023 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2022 12.00am