CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Roger Zami

Barbados vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Barbados 2 - 0 St Lucia

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Bermuda 1 - 2 Guadeloupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Barbados has a probability of 34.76% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Barbados win is 2-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.35%).

Result

Barbados 34.76% ▼ (-2.15)
Draw 22.6% ▲ (+0.31)
Guadeloupe 42.64% ▲ (+1.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.64% ▼ (-1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.63% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 1.5 15.37% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 2.5 65.9% ▼ (-2.00)
Under 2.5 34.1% ▲ (+2.00)
Over 3.5 44.05% ▼ (-2.43)
Under 3.5 55.95% ▲ (+2.43)
Over 4.5 28.89% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 4.5 71.11% ▲ (+2.21)

First Half Winner

Barbados 30.63%
Draw 37.2%
Guadeloupe 32.18%

Team To Score First

Barbados 45.05% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 3.86% ▲ (+0.30)
Guadeloupe 51.09% ▼ (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 45.65%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 42.7%
Over 9 34.84%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 54.35%
Over 10.5 25.58%
Under 10.5 74.42%

Barbados Goals

Over 1.5 42.33% ▼ (-2.90)
Under 1.5 57.67% ▲ (+2.90)
Over 2.5 19.94% ▼ (-2.58)
Under 2.5 80.06% ▲ (+2.58)
Over 3.5 7.99% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 3.5 92.01% ▲ (+1.58)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 76.37% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 0.5 23.63% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 1.5 49.71% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 50.29% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 25.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 74.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.99% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 88.01% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Barbados 34.76%
Draw 22.6%
Guadeloupe 42.63%
Barbados
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.32)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 7.44% ▼ (-1.48)
Total : 34.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.55% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 22.6%
Guadeloupe
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.37)
0-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.55)
0-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.49)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 11.44%
Total : 42.63%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Beausejour Stadium
  • Djamalee Boisné 49' goal
  • Yonel Raddas 64' yellowcard
  • Djamalee Boisné 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jaylan Gilkes 36'
  • yellowcard Mario Williams 36'
  • yellowcard Zachary Applewhite 67'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • goal Thierry Gale 76'
  • goal Niall Reid-Stephen 78'
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade René Serge Nabajoth
  • Thierry Ambrose 6' goal
  • Matthias Phaeton 27' goal
  • Quentin Annette 65' yellowcard
  • goal Keon Atkins 59'
  • yellowcard Omani Leacock 61'
  • yellowcard Hadan Holligan 73'
  • redcard Akeem Hill 90'+1'
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 9, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Krystian Pearce 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thierry Ambrose 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Saint-Ruf 21'
  • yellowcard Vikash Tille 85'