CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Enrique Russell 19' yellowcard
  • Djair Parfitt 75' goal
  • Deniche Hill 86' yellowcard
  • Jorj Dublin 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Applewhaite 31'
  • goal Thierry Gale 79'
  • goal Thierry Gale 82'
  • yellowcard Colin Griffith 86'

Bermuda vs Barbados - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Bermuda 1 - 2 Guadeloupe

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Barbados 2 - 0 St Lucia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 58.8%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 2-1 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Bermuda 23.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 17.36%
Barbados 58.8% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 15.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 66.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 33.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 45.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 54.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 32.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bermuda 16.17%
Draw 31.82%
Barbados 52.01%

Team To Score First

Bermuda 29.29%
No Goal 3.47%
Barbados 67.24%

Corners

Over 8 56.79%
Equal 8 10.76%
Under 8 32.44%
Over 9 45.9%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 43.21%
Over 10.5 35.71%
Under 10.5 64.29%

Bermuda Goals

Over 1.5 29.41%
Under 1.5 70.59%
Over 2.5 12.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Barbados Goals

Over 0.5 83.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 16.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 60.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 39.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 37.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 62.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 20.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.35% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bermuda 23.8%
Draw 17.36%
Barbados 58.8%
Bermuda
2-1 @ 5.6%
1-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.36%
Barbados
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 20.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 58.8%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 1.00am
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Tyrique Bailey-Edwards 3' yellowcard
  • Thierry Gale 26' goal
  • Andre Applewhaite 29' goal
  • Thierry Gale 41' goal
  • Niall Reid-Stephen 86' goal
  • goal Djair Parfitt 8'
  • yellowcard Justin Donawa 20'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 44'
  • yellowcard Djair Parfitt 56'