CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thierry Gale 8' goal
  • Thierry Gale 47' yellowcard
  • Zachary Applewhite 64' yellowcard
  • Niall Reid-Stephen 73' goal
  • Jaylan Gilkes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 44'

Barbados vs Saint Lucia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions

Saint Lucia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 64.68%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 19.08% and a draw had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 3-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (4.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Barbados 64.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 16.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Saint Lucia 19.08% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 11.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 74.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 25.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 55.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 44.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 42.5%
Under 4.5 57.5%

First Half Winner

Barbados 52.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 32.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Saint Lucia 15.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Barbados 63.93% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Saint Lucia 32.51%

Corners

Over 8 54.21%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 34.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 43.28%
Equal 9 10.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 45.79%
Over 10.5 33.27%
Under 10.5 66.73%

Barbados Goals

Over 1.5 68.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5 49.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 50.52% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 26.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Barbados 64.67%
Draw 16.24%
Saint Lucia 19.08%
Barbados
2-1 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 30.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 64.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 4.53%
0-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 16.24%
Saint Lucia
1-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.08%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Gameweek 5
Jun 11, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Caniggia Elva 42' goal
  • 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Caniggia Elva 90' goal
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Devonte Richards 12'
  • yellowcard Bayan Aman 17'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Carl Hinkson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Morris 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'