Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.