Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.01%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.