Bahamas national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
 
Barbados national football team

Bahamas
2 - 3
Barbados

Adderley (42', 66')
Miller (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Applewhite (10'), Taylor (80'), Applewhaite (82')
Williams (40'), Brathwaite (67')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Bahamas and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 3-3 Bahamas
Wednesday, September 4 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Barbados

All competitions
Last Game: Barbados 1-3 Haiti
Sunday, June 9 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barbados would win this match.

Result
BahamasDrawBarbados
29.2% (-0.761 -0.76)23.07% (-0.148 -0.15)47.72% (0.913 0.91)
Both teams to score 61.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.243 0.24)39.09% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.255 0.26)61.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.369 -0.37)25.73% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33% (-0.504 -0.5)60.66% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.43900000000001 0.44)16.68% (-0.435 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.779 0.78)46.56% (-0.775 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 29.2%
    Barbados 47.72%
    Draw 23.07%
BahamasDrawBarbados
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.72%