CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 7, 2024 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jonathan Miller 23' yellowcard
  • Brandon Adderley 42' goal
  • Brandon Adderley 66' goal
  • goal Zachary Applewhite 10'
  • yellowcard Mario Williams 40'
  • yellowcard Nicoli Brathwaite 67'
  • goal Ethan Taylor 80'
  • goal Andreas Applewhaite 82'

Bahamas vs Barbados - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 4, 2024 9.00pm
US Virgin Islands 3 - 3 Bahamas

Barbados

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barbados would win this match.

Result

Bahamas 29.2% (-0.77)
Draw 23.07% (-0.15)
Barbados 47.72% (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.87% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.91% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 39.09% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 38.59% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 61.41% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 21.02% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 78.98% (-0.20)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5 74.26% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 25.73% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 39.33% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 60.66% (+0.51)

Barbados Goals

Over 0.5 83.31% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 16.68% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 53.44% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 46.56% (-0.78)

Score analysis

Bahamas 29.2%
Draw 23.07%
Barbados 47.72%
Bahamas
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 29.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.07%
Barbados
1-2 @ 9.34% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.58% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 4.11% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.5% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.84% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.72%