CONCACAF Nations League
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Naqwan Henry
27'
-
Zahmyre Harris
34'
-
Joshua Ramos
40'
-
Rakeem Joseph
77'
-
Axel Bartsch
77'
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Gabriel Catone-Highfield
86'
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Lesly St Fleur
2'
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Peter Julmis
37'
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Brandon Adderley
58'
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William Bayles
64'
US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
US Virgin Islands
45.1%
▼
(-6.35)
Draw
22.21%
▲
(+0.28)
Bahamas
32.68%
▲
(+6.07)
Both Teams to Score:
67.13%
▲
(+3.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.97%
▲
(+2.51)
Under 2.5
33.03%
▼
(-2.51)
Over 3.5
45.25%
▲
(+2.83)
Under 3.5
54.75%
▼
(-2.84)
Over 4.5
26.51%
▲
(+2.40)
Under 4.5
73.49%
▼
(-2.40)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5
84.68%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 0.5
15.32%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 1.5
55.93%
▼
(-2.36)
Under 1.5
44.07%
▲
(+2.36)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5
79.27%
▲
(+4.92)
Under 0.5
20.72%
▼
(-4.92)
Over 1.5
46.66%
▲
(+7.20)
Under 1.5
53.34%
▼
(-7.21)
Score analysis
US Virgin Islands
45.11%
Draw
22.21%
Bahamas
32.68%
US Virgin Islands
2-1
@
8.79%
▼
(-0.65)
1-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-1.13)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-1.36)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.67)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-1.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.45)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.59)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-92.24)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 45.11%
1-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-1.13)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-1.36)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.67)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-1.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.45)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.59)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-92.24)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 45.11%
Draw
1-1
@
9.38%
▼
(-0.27)
2-2 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.50)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.44)
3-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.21%
2-2 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.50)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.44)
3-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.21%
Bahamas
1-2
@
7.38%
▲
(+0.83)
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.59)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.90)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.72)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.55)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.52)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-97.78)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 32.68%
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.59)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.90)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.72)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.55)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.52)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-97.78)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 32.68%