US Virgin Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 4, 2024 at 9pm UK
Paul E. Joseph Stadium
Bahamas national football team

US Virgin Islands
3 - 3
Bahamas

Henry (27'), Joseph (77'), Catone-Highfield (86')
Harris (34'), Ramos (40'), Bartsch (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
St Fleur (2' pen.), Julmis (37'), Adderley (58')
Bayles (64')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Bahamas.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Virgin Islands

All competitions
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-4 Aruba
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bahamas

All competitions
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 11 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
US Virgin IslandsDrawBahamas
45.1% (-6.342 -6.34)22.21% (0.278 0.28)32.68% (6.063 6.06)
Both teams to score 67.13% (3.25 3.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (2.508 2.51)33.03% (-2.51 -2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (2.83 2.83)54.75% (-2.83 -2.83)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (-1.231 -1.23)15.32% (1.23 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (-2.36 -2.36)44.07% (2.359 2.36)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (4.917 4.92)20.72% (-4.919 -4.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (7.198 7.2)53.34% (-7.201 -7.2)
Score Analysis
    US Virgin Islands 45.11%
    Bahamas 32.68%
    Draw 22.21%
US Virgin IslandsDrawBahamas
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.649 -0.65)
1-0 @ 5.96% (-1.124 -1.12)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-1.351 -1.35)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.669 -0.67)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-1.038 -1.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.443 -0.44)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.582 -0.58)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.131 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 45.11%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.494 0.49)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.438 -0.44)
3-3 @ 2.27% (0.366 0.37)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.82 0.82)
0-1 @ 5% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.586 0.59)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.895 0.9)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.716 0.72)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.545 0.55)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.511 0.51)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.436 0.44)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas

US Virgin Islands
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Bahamas
14.3%
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