CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 1.00am
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Tyrique Bailey-Edwards 3' yellowcard
  • Thierry Gale 26' goal
  • Andre Applewhaite 29' goal
  • Thierry Gale 41' goal
  • Niall Reid-Stephen 86' goal
  • goal Djair Parfitt 8'
  • yellowcard Justin Donawa 20'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 44'
  • yellowcard Djair Parfitt 56'

Barbados vs Bermuda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Barbados 2 - 0 St Lucia

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Bermuda 1 - 2 Guadeloupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barbados win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Bermuda has a probability of 26.16% and a draw has a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (5.74%) and 3-1 (5.58%). The likeliest Bermuda win is 1-2 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.94%).

Result

Barbados 54.85% ▲ (+1.89)
Draw 18.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Bermuda 26.16% ▼ (-1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.58% ▼ (-1.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.02% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 1.5 12.98% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 2.5 70.36% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 2.5 29.64% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 3.5 48.13% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 3.5 51.87% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 4.5 34.57% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 4.5 65.43% ▲ (+1.16)

First Half Winner

Barbados 41.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 36.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Bermuda 22.06% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Barbados 56.82% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 3.21% ▲ (+0.21)
Bermuda 39.97% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 62.21% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 9.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 28.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 52.29% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 9.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 37.79% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 42.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 57.48% ▼ (-0.18)

Barbados Goals

Over 1.5 60.17% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 39.83% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 37.52% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 62.48% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 20.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 79.1% ▼ (-0.24)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5 59.97% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 0.5 40.03% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 1.5 33.52% ▼ (-2.35)
Under 1.5 66.48% ▲ (+2.36)
Over 2.5 14.93% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 2.5 85.07% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 3.5 5.47% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 3.5 94.53% ▲ (+0.97)

Score analysis

Barbados 54.87%
Draw 18.99%
Bermuda 26.16%
Barbados
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.46)
3-1 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.44)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 20.36% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 54.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 18.99%
Bermuda
1-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.21)
0-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.92)
Total : 26.16%