CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm

Bermuda vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions

Guadeloupe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw has a probability of 15.79% and a win for Bermuda has a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.54%) , while for a Bermuda win it is 2-1 (4.42%).

Result

Bermuda 13.02% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 15.79% ▲ (+0.43)
Guadeloupe 71.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.59% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.35% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 13.65% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 69.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 30.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Bermuda 13.15% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 32.44% ▲ (+0.40)
Guadeloupe 54.41% ▲ (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Bermuda 29.43% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 3.79% ▲ (+0.21)
Guadeloupe 66.78% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 48.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 39.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 38.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 51.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 28.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.27% ▲ (+0.04)

Bermuda Goals

Over 1.5 18.77% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 81.23% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 6.58% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 93.42% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.4% ▲ (+0.11)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 89.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 10.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 70.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 29.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 47.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.71% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 72.29% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Bermuda 13.01%
Draw 15.79%
Guadeloupe 71.19%
Bermuda
2-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 13.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 15.79%
Guadeloupe
1-2 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 27.45% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 71.19%