CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Enrique Russell 18' goal
  • L. Simmons 26' yellowcard
  • London Steede-Jackson 26' yellowcard
  • Deniche Hill 55' yellowcard
  • Jorj Dublin 64' redcard
  • Z. Lewis 86' yellowcard
  • L. Simmons 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Davillars 13'
  • yellowcard 53'
  • goal Allan Vulgaire 84'
  • goal Djamalee Boisné 89'

Bermuda vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions

Guadeloupe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.79% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%) , while for a Bermuda win it was 2-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Bermuda 13.02% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 15.79% ▲ (+0.43)
Guadeloupe 71.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.59% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.35% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 13.65% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 69.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 30.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Bermuda 13.15% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 32.44% ▲ (+0.40)
Guadeloupe 54.41% ▲ (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Bermuda 29.43% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 3.79% ▲ (+0.21)
Guadeloupe 66.78% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 48.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 39.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 38.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 51.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 28.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.27% ▲ (+0.04)

Bermuda Goals

Over 1.5 18.77% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 81.23% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 6.58% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 93.42% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.4% ▲ (+0.11)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 89.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 10.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 70.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 29.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 47.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.71% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 72.29% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Bermuda 13.01%
Draw 15.79%
Guadeloupe 71.19%
Bermuda
2-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 13.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 15.79%
Guadeloupe
1-2 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 27.45% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 71.19%