Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.