Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 81.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.