Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.82% and a win for Sporting San Miguelito had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Sporting San Miguelito win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.