Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%).