Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.43% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.