Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Chongqing Tongliang Long had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 0-1 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.