Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2026 8.00pm
Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Fer López

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2026 8.00pm
Derby 3 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Derby County win it is 1-2 (5.54%).

Result

Wolverhampton Wanderers 57.02%
Draw 22.8%
Derby County 20.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.96%
Under 1.5 22.04%
Over 2.5 55.34%
Under 2.5 44.66%
Over 3.5 32.53%
Under 3.5 67.47%
Over 4.5 19.39%
Under 4.5 80.61%

First Half Winner

Wolverhampton Wanderers 42.73%
Draw 40%
Derby County 17.27%

Team To Score First

Wolverhampton Wanderers 64.23%
No Goal 5.7%
Derby County 30.07%

Corners

Over 8 65.58%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 23.33%
Over 9 53.47%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 34.42%
Over 10.5 41.49%
Under 10.5 58.51%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 54.21%
Under 1.5 45.79%
Over 2.5 28%
Under 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 11.7%
Under 3.5 88.3%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 56.9%
Under 0.5 43.1%
Over 1.5 24.18%
Under 1.5 75.82%
Over 2.5 7.6%
Under 2.5 92.4%
Over 3.5 2%
Under 3.5 98%

Score analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 57.02%
Draw 22.8%
Derby County 20.15%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 10.28%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-0 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 11.51%
Total : 57.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.8%
Derby County
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.15%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Nugent 41' goal
  • Mason Mount 72' goal
  • goal Diogo Jota 67'
Championship
Apr 11, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diogo Jota 6' goal
  • Ruben Neves 51' goal
  • Ryan Bennett 61' yellowcard
Championship
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Barry Douglas 32'
  • goal Ivan Cavaleiro 76'
Championship
Apr 29, 2017 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • David Nugent 12' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 29' goal
  • Craig Bryson 57' goal
  • Alex Pearce 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mike Williamson 23'
  • redcard Ivan Cavaleiro 33'
  • goal Ben Marshall 45'
Championship
Nov 5, 2016 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • George Saville 34' yellowcard
  • Helder Costa 61' goal
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 76' yellowcard
  • Matt Doherty 79' yellowcard
  • Conor Coady 80' yellowcard
  • David Edwards 82' goal
  • Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 93' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Ince 6'
  • goal Darren Bent 15'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 36'
  • goal Tom Ince 77'
Championship
Feb 27, 2016 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • George Saville 14' goal
  • Danny Batth 51' yellowcard
  • Bjorn Sigurdarson 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin McDonald 80' yellowcard
  • George Saville 86' goal
  • George Saville 93' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Martin 44'
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 75'