Championship Gameweek 16
Norwich
Nov 21, 2026 12.30pm
Carrow Road
Cardiff

Norwich City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol City 0 - 5 Norwich
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff 5 - 4 Burnley
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 47%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 30.04% and a draw has a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.32%).

Result

Norwich City 47% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 22.99%
Cardiff City 30.04% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 59.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.42%
Under 3.5 63.58%
Over 4.5 21.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.12% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 38.22%
Draw 36.94%
Cardiff City 24.84%

Team To Score First

Norwich City 55.52% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Cardiff City 39.66%

Corners

Over 8 60.84%
Equal 8 10.87%
Under 8 28.29%
Over 9 49.5%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 39.16%
Over 10.5 38.62%
Under 10.5 61.38%

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 49.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 50.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 75.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 90.79% ▼ (-0.04)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 66.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 35.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 64.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 14.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 85.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Norwich City 46.99%
Draw 22.98%
Cardiff City 30.05%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 46.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
Cardiff City
1-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 30.05%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Cardiff
Aug 25, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich
  • Perry Ng 27' yellowcard
  • Isaak Davies 33' yellowcard
  • Rubin Colwill 84' yellowcard
  • Yousef Salech 90'+3' goal
  • goal Mathias Kvistgaarden 25'
  • yellowcard Pelle Mattsson 50'
  • goal Ante Crnac  78'
Championship Gameweek 46
Norwich
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Carrow Road
Cardiff
  • Marcelino Nunez 13' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 17' goal
  • Borja Sainz 23' goal
  • Jacob Wright 36' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 42' yellowcard
  • Shane Duffy 67' goal
  • Callum Doyle 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 10'
  • redcard Calum Chambers 16'
  • goal Yousef Salech 56'
  • yellowcard Joel Bagan 64'
  • goal Yousef Salech 84'
Championship Gameweek 13
Cardiff
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich
  • Andy Rinomhota 45'+1' yellowcard
  • David Turnbull 54' yellowcard
  • Callum O'Dowda 78' yellowcard
  • Callum Robinson 89' goal
  • Callum O'Dowda 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Kellen Fisher 42'
  • goal Borja Sainz 52'
  • yellowcard Jose Cordoba 82'
Championship Gameweek 33
Norwich
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 6 3
FT Carrow Road
Cardiff
  • Joshua Sargent 39' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 39' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 39' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 44' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 44' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 44' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 54' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 54' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 54' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 77' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 77' goal
  • goal Jamilu Collins 19'
  • goal Jamilu Collins 19'
  • goal Jamilu Collins 19'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 47'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 47'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 47'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 69'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 69'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 16
Cardiff
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich
  • Karlan Grant 12' yellowcard
  • Josh Bowler 39' goal
  • Callum Robinson 43' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 79' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Fassnacht 22'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 45'
  • yellowcard Liam Gibbs 77'
  • goal Ryan Wintle 82' (OG)
  • goal Adam Idah 84'
Championship Gameweek 34
Norwich
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
Cardiff
  • Gabriel Sara 33' goal
  • Marquinhos 37' goal

Form Data

Bristol City 0 - 5 Norwich
Derby 0 - 4 Norwich
Norwich 3 - 2 Watford
Charlton 1 - 3 Norwich
Norwich 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Norwich 0 - 1 Southampton
Cardiff 5 - 4 Burnley
Cardiff 3 - 3 West Ham
Wolves 3 - 0 Cardiff
Cardiff 1 - 0 Birmingham
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Cardiff
Cardiff 5 - 1 Watford