Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 3 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
QPR 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Zeki Amdouni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw has a probability of 22.86% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.07%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.78%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-2 (5.24%).

Result

Cardiff City 59.67% ▼ (-0.83)
Draw 22.86% ▲ (+0.56)
Burnley 17.47% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.24% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 22.77% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 77.23% ▼ (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 46.46% ▲ (+2.53)
Draw 35.6% ▼ (-1.65)
Burnley 17.95% ▼ (-0.86)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 65.08% ▲ (+1.19)
No Goal 5.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Burnley 29.09% ▼ (-1.29)

Corners

Over 8 71.16% ▲ (+4.87)
Equal 8 10.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 8 18.58% ▼ (-5.00)
Over 9 59.29% ▲ (+4.04)
Equal 9 11.86% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 9 28.84% ▼ (-4.88)
Over 10.5 46.94% ▲ (+2.73)
Under 10.5 53.06% ▼ (-2.73)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 31.91% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 68.09% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 15.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 84.89% ▼ (-0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 53.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 76.79% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 7.71% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 92.29% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 2.17% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.83% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 59.66%
Draw 22.86%
Burnley 17.47%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 14.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 59.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 22.86%
Burnley
1-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 17.47%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Yousef Salech 42' goal
  • goal Josh Brownhill 19'
  • goal Maxime Esteve 40'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Ethan Horvath 9' goal
  • Luca Koleosho 31' goal
  • Lyle Foster 42' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 51' goal
  • Maxime Esteve 59' yellowcard
  • Zeki Amdouni 88' goal
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Ramsey 42'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Brownhill 27' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 31' goal
  • Scott Twine 57' goal
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Callum Robinson 90' goal
  • goal Nathan Tella 48'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Wood 31' goal
  • James Tarkowski 42' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 45' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 92' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Bennett 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Arter 50'
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 50'
  • yellowcard Victor Camarasa 82'