Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 21, 2026 12.30pm
The Den

Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
West Brom 3 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 2 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Richard Kone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Queens Park Rangers has a probability of 27.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 0-1 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result

Millwall 47.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 25.16%
Queens Park Rangers 27.29% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.48% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.94% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Millwall 38.05%
Draw 38.78%
Queens Park Rangers 23.17%

Team To Score First

Millwall 52.63%
No Goal 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Queens Park Rangers 41.47% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.01%
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 24.5%
Over 9 53.7%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 34.99%
Over 10.5 42.51%
Under 10.5 57.49%

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 47.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 77.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 64.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 35.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 31.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 68.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Millwall 47.59%
Draw 25.16%
Queens Park Rangers 27.29%
Millwall
1-0 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.16%
Queens Park Rangers
0-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.29%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT MATRADE Loftus Road
  • Mark Sykes 86' goal
  • goal Luke Cundle 54'
Championship
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Den
  • Derek Mazou-Sacko 3' goal
  • Camiel Neghli 17' goal
  • Femi Azeez 34' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 70' yellowcard
  • Tom Watson 70' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ivanović 86' yellowcard
  • Luke Cundle 86' yellowcard
  • Barry Bannan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronnie Edwards 19'
  • yellowcard Amadou Salif Mbengue 30'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Madsen 45'
  • yellowcard R. Burrell 46'
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 46'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 46'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Madsen 46'
  • yellowcard Ilias Chair 60'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 90'+2'
Championship
Oct 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT MATRADE Loftus Road
  • Rhys Norrington-Davies 55' yellowcard
  • Paul Patrick Smyth 59' yellowcard
  • R. Burrell 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 33'
  • goal Femi Azeez 36'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 39'
  • goal Mihailo Ivanović 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Thierno Ballo 56'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
  • Aaron Connolly 1' goal
  • Luke Cundle 25' goal
  • George Saville 75' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Lloyd 3'
  • yellowcard Kieran Morgan 59'
  • yellowcard Alfie Lloyd 74'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Michael Frey 40' goal
  • Kenneth Paal 60' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Varane 84' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan Watmore 34'
  • yellowcard George Saville 86'
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Ilias Chair 27' goal
  • Marti Cifuentes 33' yellowcard
  • Sinclair Armstrong 85' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 32'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 85'