Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2026 5.45pm
Rams Park

Galatasaray vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Galatasaray

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Galatasaray win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 24.91% and a draw has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.44%).

Result

Galatasaray 53.52%
Draw 21.57%
Aston Villa 24.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.01%
Under 1.5 14.99%
Over 2.5 65.88%
Under 2.5 34.12%
Over 3.5 44.44%
Under 3.5 55.52%
Over 4.5 29.52%
Under 4.5 70.48%

First Half Winner

Galatasaray 44%
Draw 34.62%
Aston Villa 21.38%

Team To Score First

Galatasaray 61.85%
No Goal 3.66%
Aston Villa 34.49%

Corners

Over 8 56.13%
Equal 8 10.65%
Under 8 33.22%
Over 9 45.4%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 43.87%
Over 10.5 35.39%
Under 10.5 64.61%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 1.5 57.67%
Under 1.5 42.33%
Over 2.5 32.75%
Under 2.5 67.25%
Over 3.5 16.04%
Under 3.5 83.96%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 62.3%
Under 0.5 37.7%
Over 1.5 33.25%
Under 1.5 66.75%
Over 2.5 13.46%
Under 2.5 86.54%
Over 3.5 5.23%
Under 3.5 94.77%

Score analysis

Galatasaray 53.53%
Draw 21.57%
Aston Villa 24.92%
Galatasaray
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 15.71%
Total : 53.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.57%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 24.92%