Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Carlos Hernández 34' goal
  • Daniel Mas Soria 38' yellowcard
  • Kuki Zalazar 45'+1' goal
  • 90' yellowcard
  • goal Haitam Abaida 40'
  • yellowcard Chupe 67'
  • yellowcard Juan Fernandéz 78'

Ceuta vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Ceuta

Malaga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 7.00pm
Malaga 4 - 2 Al Arabi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 1-0 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 25.97% (+0.01)
Draw 25.6% (-0.10)
Malaga 48.43% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.32% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 23.68% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.05% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.95% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.23% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.77% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.75% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.25% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 24.55% (-0.08)
Draw 43.42% (-0.02)
Malaga 32.03% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 42.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.05)
Malaga 51.14% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.76% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 24.61% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.22%
Equal 9 12.55% (+0.03)
Under 9 36.24% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 38.98% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 61.02% (+0.03)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 29.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.57%
Under 2.5 90.43%
Over 3.5 2.56%
Under 3.5 97.44%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 78.51% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.49% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.06%
Under 3.5 91.94%

Score analysis

Ceuta 25.96%
Draw 25.58%
Malaga 48.43%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.45% (+0.03)
Total : 25.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 25.58%
Malaga
1-2 @ 10.55%
0-1 @ 9.82% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 5.23% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.03)
Total : 48.43%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 16, 2026 3.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Ignacio Schor 46' yellowcard
  • Aboubacar Bassinga 46' yellowcard
  • Yago Cantero 46' yellowcard
  • Einar Galilea 52' goal
  • Arick Betancourt 77' yellowcard
  • Josema 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquín Muñoz 4'
  • goal Chupe 13'
  • goal Chupe 42'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 46'
  • yellowcard Javi Montero 63'
  • yellowcard Aarón Ochoa 63'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 72'
  • yellowcard Darko Brasanac 80'
  • goal Aarón Ochoa 82'
Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
LIVE Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 43' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 45'+1' goal
  • Aaron Ochoa Moloney 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kuki Zalazar 3'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 26'
  • yellowcard Marc Domenech 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Salvi 65'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 66'