Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Camilo Durán 23' yellowcard
  • Mika Joel Baur 47' goal
  • Martin O'Neill 67' yellowcard
  • Liam Scales 85' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sørensen 89' yellowcard
  • Colby Donovan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Javi Rodríguez 68'
  • goal Javi Rodríguez 71'

Celtic vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Omonia 1 - 0 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Celtic 57.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Celta Vigo 18.37% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.17%
Under 1.5 24.83%
Over 2.5 51.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 70.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.04% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Celtic 48.33%
Draw 36.46%
Celta Vigo 15.21%

Team To Score First

Celtic 62.64%
No Goal 7.11%
Celta Vigo 30.25%

Corners

Over 8 57.28%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 32.02%
Over 9 46.45%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 42.72%
Over 10.5 36.31%
Under 10.5 63.69%

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 52.84% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 47.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 27.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 72.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 88.24% ▼ (-0.08)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 52.66% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 21% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 79% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Celtic 57.86%
Draw 23.74%
Celta Vigo 18.37%
Celtic
1-0 @ 11.79% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 57.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.74%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 18.37%