Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.