FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Regan Linney 6' goal
  • Regan Linney 45' goal
  • goal Riccardo Calder 48'

Carlisle United vs Tamworth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Tamworth

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (5.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 60.31% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 19.43% ▲ (+0.29)
Tamworth 20.26% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.05% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.85% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 14.15% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 32.12% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 44.06% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 3.5 55.89% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 4.5 30.47% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 4.5 69.53% ▲ (+0.63)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 45.76% ▼ (-1.75)
Draw 34.41% ▲ (+0.89)
Tamworth 19.83% ▲ (+0.85)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 60.74% ▼ (-1.08)
No Goal 3.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Tamworth 35.8% ▲ (+0.99)

Corners

Over 8 66.09% ▼ (-3.48)
Equal 8 9.74%
Under 8 24.17% ▲ (+3.49)
Over 9 55.51% ▼ (-3.17)
Equal 9 10.58% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 9 33.91% ▲ (+3.48)
Over 10.5 44.9% ▼ (-2.58)
Under 10.5 55.1% ▲ (+2.58)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 63.01% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 36.99% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 37.91% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 62.09% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 19.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5 56.42% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 43.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 28.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 71.55% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.08% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 88.92% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 60.31%
Draw 19.42%
Tamworth 20.24%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 18.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 60.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 19.42%
Tamworth
1-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 20.24%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Teo Kurtaran 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Oliver Lynch 64' goal
  • Oliver Lynch 76' goal
  • Matthias Curley 77' yellowcard
  • Michael Reindorf 78' yellowcard
  • Tom Tonks 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tom Tonks 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Tonks 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ajiboye 46'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 52'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 80'
  • yellowcard Jack Ellis 84'
  • yellowcard Terell Thomas 90'+2'
National League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Morgan Feeney 7' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 25' goal
  • Georgie Kelly 79' goal
  • 85' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 21'
  • yellowcard Kennedy Digie 31'
  • goal Jordan Ponticelli 38'
  • yellowcard Kwaku Donkor 90'+5'