National League Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Harvey Bunker

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Southend 3 - 2 Yeovil
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Leon Chambers-Parillon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Southend United has a probability of 32.42% and a draw has a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southend United win is 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Carlisle United 39.86% (-0.10)
Draw 27.72% (-0.08)
Southend United 32.42% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.54% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.2% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.66% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.34% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 35.03% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 64.97% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.37% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.63% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 31.07% (-0.02)
Draw 41.48% (-0.02)
Southend United 27.46% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 51.69% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.01)
Southend United 42.18% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.4% (-0.38)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.08% (+0.34)
Over 9 46.61% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.6% (+0.38)
Over 10.5 35.54% (-0.31)
Under 10.5 64.46% (+0.30)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.91% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.8%
Under 2.5 80.2%
Over 3.5 7.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.87% (+0.02)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 29.61% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 38.54% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.46% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.79% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 84.21% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 5.83% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.17% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 39.86%
Draw 27.73%
Southend United 32.43%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.61% (-0.01)
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.73%
Southend United
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.31% (+0.03)
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

National League
Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Georgie Kelly 3' goal
  • Regan Linney 36' goal
  • Bevis Mugabi 76' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 78' yellowcard
  • Jack Ellis 83' yellowcard
  • Hugh Parker 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Collin Andeng Ndi 7'
  • goal Andrew Dallas 65'
  • yellowcard Charley Kendall 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Austin 66'
  • yellowcard James Morton 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Austin 67'
  • yellowcard Charley Kendall 67'
  • yellowcard James Morton 67'
  • goal Terell Thomas 81' (OG)
  • yellowcard Slavi Spasov 87'
National League
Nov 8, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 3, 2021 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Kyle Taylor 38' yellowcard
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 17'
  • yellowcard Rodney McDonald 31'
  • goal Gime Toure 79'
League Two Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2020 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Nick Anderton 16' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 36' goal
  • Joshua Kayode 39' goal
League Two
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Timlin 50' goal
  • Barry Corr 72' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Rigg 69'
League Two
Aug 23, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Antony Sweeney 43' goal
  • goal Conor Clifford 45'
  • yellowcard John White 52'