National League Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Georgie Kelly 4' goal
  • Leo Duru 62' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle McAdam 7'
  • yellowcard Vontae Daley-Campbell 43'
  • yellowcard Harry Cardwell 52'
  • yellowcard Harry Cardwell 53'
  • goal Leon Chambers-Parillon 83'
  • goal Kyle McAdam 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Promise Omochere 90'+4'

Carlisle United vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Southend 3 - 2 Yeovil
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Leon Chambers-Parillon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 39.86%
Draw 27.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Southend United 32.35% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.66%
Under 2.5 43.34%
Over 3.5 35.03%
Under 3.5 64.97%
Over 4.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 31.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 41.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Southend United 27.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 51.7% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Southend United 42.18%

Corners

Over 8 58.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 46.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 41.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.13%
Under 3.5 92.87%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 38.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 39.87%
Draw 27.73%
Southend United 32.35%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.61%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
2-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.73%
Southend United
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head

National League
Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Georgie Kelly 3' goal
  • Regan Linney 36' goal
  • Bevis Mugabi 76' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 78' yellowcard
  • Jack Ellis 83' yellowcard
  • Hugh Parker 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Collin Andeng Ndi 7'
  • goal Andrew Dallas 65'
  • yellowcard Charley Kendall 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Austin 66'
  • yellowcard James Morton 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Austin 67'
  • yellowcard Charley Kendall 67'
  • yellowcard James Morton 67'
  • goal Terell Thomas 81' (OG)
  • yellowcard Slavi Spasov 87'
National League
Nov 8, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 3, 2021 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Kyle Taylor 38' yellowcard
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 17'
  • yellowcard Rodney McDonald 31'
  • goal Gime Toure 79'
League Two Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2020 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Nick Anderton 16' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 36' goal
  • Joshua Kayode 39' goal
League Two
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Timlin 50' goal
  • Barry Corr 72' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Rigg 69'
League Two
Aug 23, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Antony Sweeney 43' goal
  • goal Conor Clifford 45'
  • yellowcard John White 52'