National League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Halifax 4 - 1 Tamworth
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Kieren Donnelly

Worthing

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Worthing 1 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Dom Hutchinson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Worthing has a probability of 36.07% and a draw has a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Worthing win is 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.29%).

Result

Tamworth 39.77% (-0.08)
Draw 24.16% (+0.04)
Worthing 36.07% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.93% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.29% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 61.3%
Under 2.5 38.7%
Over 3.5 39.57% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 60.43% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.3% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 75.7% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Tamworth 31.91% (+0.06)
Draw 38.57% (+0.01)
Worthing 29.53% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Tamworth 49.48% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.95% (+0.01)
Worthing 45.57% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.76% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.85%
Under 8 29.39% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.53% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 40.24% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.84% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 62.16% (+0.01)

Tamworth Goals

Over 1.5 44.68% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.32% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 21.13% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 78.87% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.82% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.18% (+0.04)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 28.01% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 42.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.44% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Tamworth 39.77%
Draw 24.17%
Worthing 36.07%
Tamworth
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.53% (-0.03)
Total : 39.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.17%
Worthing
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.61% (+0.02)
Total : 36.07%