Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.