National League Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Bailey Hobson 16' goal
  • Shawn McCoulsky 39' yellowcard
  • Morgan Williams 39' yellowcard
  • Will McGowan 42' goal
  • Warren Burrell 51' yellowcard
  • Josh Hmami 63' goal
  • goal Ben Milnes 6'
  • yellowcard Morgan Roberts 34'
  • yellowcard Dan Creaney 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dan Creaney 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tshikuna 86'
  • yellowcard Joe Rye 90'

Harrogate Town vs Tamworth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 2 Harrogate
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Josh Hmami

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Tamworth 2 - 2 Boston
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kieren Donnelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Harrogate Town 50.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.24%
Tamworth 24.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15%
Under 1.5 19.85%
Over 2.5 57.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.39%
Under 3.5 64.61%
Over 4.5 21.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.48% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Harrogate Town 36.08%
Draw 41.82%
Tamworth 22.1%

Team To Score First

Harrogate Town 59.01%
No Goal 5.6%
Tamworth 35.39%

Corners

Over 8 62.41%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 26.36%
Over 9 50.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 37.59%
Over 10.5 39.01%
Under 10.5 60.99%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.93%
Under 1.5 48.07%
Over 2.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5 63.19%
Under 0.5 36.81%
Over 1.5 30.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 50.9%
Draw 24.25%
Tamworth 24.86%
Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 10.24%
1-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.27%
Total : 50.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.25%
Tamworth
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-1 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.86%