National League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
CNG Stadium

Harrogate Town vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Aldershot 3 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Ciaran McGuckin

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Gateshead 0 - 1 Sutton
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Ashley Boatswain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Gateshead has a probability of 25.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Gateshead win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Harrogate Town 50.57% (-0.04)
Draw 24.18% (+0.02)
Gateshead 25.25% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.13% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.87% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.52%
Under 4.5 80.48%

First Half Winner

Harrogate Town 38.54% (-0.03)
Draw 38.86%
Gateshead 22.6% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Harrogate Town 56.65% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.07% (+0.03)
Gateshead 37.28% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.81% (-0.08)
Over 9 51.27% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.46% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 40.33% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 59.67% (-0.11)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 1.5 50.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.72% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.76% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.24% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.17% (+0.02)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.39% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.57% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.43% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.13% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.87% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.25%
Under 3.5 96.75%

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 50.57%
Draw 24.19%
Gateshead 25.24%
Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 10.14%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 9.68% (-0.01)
Total : 50.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.07% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.19%
Gateshead
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 55
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium (Harrogate, North Yorkshire)
  • Jordan Thewlis 41' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 47' yellowcard
  • Mark Beck 55' goal
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead, Tyne and Wear)
  • Fraser Kerr 35' goal
  • Steven Rigg 52' goal
  • Fraser Kerr 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Knowles 23'
  • yellowcard Dominic Knowles 51'
  • goal Jack Muldoon 56'
  • goal Aaron Williams 85'