National League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Josh Hmami 53' goal
  • Josh Hmami 58' yellowcard
  • Ashley Boatswain 90' goal
  • goal Pete Jameson 46'

Harrogate Town vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Aldershot 3 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Josh Hmami

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Gateshead 0 - 1 Sutton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ashley Boatswain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Harrogate Town 50.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Gateshead 25.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.52%
Under 4.5 80.48%

First Half Winner

Harrogate Town 38.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 38.86%
Gateshead 22.6% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Harrogate Town 56.65% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Gateshead 37.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 26.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 51.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 40.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 59.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 1.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.25%
Under 3.5 96.75%

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 50.57%
Draw 24.19%
Gateshead 25.24%
Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 10.14%
1-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.19%
Gateshead
1-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 55
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium (Harrogate, North Yorkshire)
  • Jordan Thewlis 41' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 47' yellowcard
  • Mark Beck 55' goal
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead, Tyne and Wear)
  • Fraser Kerr 35' goal
  • Steven Rigg 52' goal
  • Fraser Kerr 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Knowles 23'
  • yellowcard Dominic Knowles 51'
  • goal Jack Muldoon 56'
  • goal Aaron Williams 85'