National League Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Carlisle 1 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Forest Green 0 - 0 Gateshead
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kyle McAllister

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Forest Green Rovers has a probability of 27.75% and a draw has a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).

Result

Carlisle United 48.04% ▼ (-5.07)
Draw 24.22% ▲ (+0.90)
Forest Green Rovers 27.75% ▲ (+4.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.31% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 19.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 59.6% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 40.4% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 36.48% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 3.5 63.52% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 4.5 21.9% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 4.5 78.1% ▲ (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 36.08% ▼ (-0.65)
Draw 41% ▲ (+0.36)
Forest Green Rovers 22.92% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 55.37% ▼ (-2.65)
No Goal 5.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Forest Green Rovers 39.42% ▲ (+2.52)

Corners

Over 8 71.35% ▲ (+4.62)
Equal 8 10.09% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 8 18.56% ▼ (-4.06)
Over 9 59.72% ▲ (+4.70)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 28.65% ▼ (-4.63)
Over 10.5 47.59% ▲ (+4.31)
Under 10.5 52.41% ▼ (-4.31)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 50.9% ▼ (-3.54)
Under 1.5 49.1% ▲ (+3.54)
Over 2.5 25.08% ▼ (-3.04)
Under 2.5 74.92% ▲ (+3.04)
Over 3.5 9.58% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 3.5 90.42% ▲ (+1.86)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 66.11% ▲ (+3.62)
Under 0.5 33.89% ▼ (-3.62)
Over 1.5 34.38% ▲ (+3.94)
Under 1.5 65.62% ▼ (-3.93)
Over 2.5 13.09% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 2.5 86.91% ▼ (-2.25)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▼ (-0.69)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 48.03%
Draw 24.21%
Forest Green Rovers 27.75%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.59)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.63)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.68)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.63)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.3% ▼ (-1.97)
Total : 48.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 24.21%
Forest Green Rovers
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.95)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.60)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.50)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.52)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.57)
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head

National League
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT The New Lawn
  • Joshua Oluwole Olaoluwa 26' yellowcard
  • Gabe Kircough 46' yellowcard
  • Jay Mingi 46' yellowcard
  • Jay Mingi 52' goal
  • Tom Knowles 57' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Wearne 11'
  • goal M. Feeney 22'
  • goal David Ajiboye 29'
  • yellowcard Terell Thomas 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Ellis 78'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 87'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 87'
National League
Oct 18, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Morgan Feeney 16' goal
  • Baily Cargill 35' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 52' goal
  • Jamille Matt 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 62'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Brennan Dickenson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Tristan Abrahams 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jamille Matt 29'
  • goal Nicky Cadden 32'
  • yellowcard Regan Hendry 60'
League Two Gameweek 25
Feb 2, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Gime Toure 72' goal
  • Rhys Bennett 73' yellowcard
  • Joe Riley 76' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 60'
  • goal Odin Bailey 75'
  • yellowcard Odin Bailey 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 82'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Jayden Richardson 50' yellowcard
  • Jamille Matt 76' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 19'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 44'
  • yellowcard Paul Farman 50'
  • yellowcard Taylor Charters 90'+1'