National League Gameweek 9
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Eastleigh 0 - 0 Boreham Wood
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Josh Lundstram

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Carlisle 1 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw has a probability of 23.75% and a win for Eastleigh has a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Eastleigh win it is 2-1 (5.56%).

Result

Eastleigh 20.36%
Draw 23.75%
Carlisle United 55.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26%
Under 1.5 22.74%
Over 2.5 53.84%
Under 2.5 46.16%
Over 3.5 29.86%
Under 3.5 70.14%
Over 4.5 18.21%
Under 4.5 81.79%

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 19.25%
Draw 36.77%
Carlisle United 43.98%

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 32.8%
No Goal 6.58%
Carlisle United 60.62%

Corners

Over 8 58.73%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 30.1%
Over 9 47.26%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 41.27%
Over 10.5 36.44%
Under 10.5 63.56%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 23.22%
Under 1.5 76.78%
Over 2.5 7.58%
Under 2.5 92.42%
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.65%
Under 0.5 18.35%
Over 1.5 52.84%
Under 1.5 47.16%
Over 2.5 27.36%
Under 2.5 72.64%
Over 3.5 12.05%
Under 3.5 87.95%

Score analysis

Eastleigh 20.37%
Draw 23.75%
Carlisle United 55.88%
Eastleigh
2-1 @ 5.56%
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-1 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.75%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 5.12%
2-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 11.77%
Total : 55.88%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Kieron Evans 68' yellowcard
  • Temi Eweka 90'+4' goal
  • goal Georgie Kelly 54'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 69'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 72'
  • yellowcard Bevis Mugabi 72'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 73'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 87'
National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT