/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsurlog.png)
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Jonathan David
24'
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Jonathan David
24'
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Jacob Shaffelburg
30'
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Jacob Shaffelburg
30'
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Jacob Shaffelburg
67'
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Jacob Shaffelburg
67'
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Etienne Vaessen
28'
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Etienne Vaessen
28'
Canada vs Suriname - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fjonathan-david.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result
Canada
29.01%
▼
(-0.62)
Draw
24.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Suriname
46.23%
▲
(+0.64)
Both Teams to Score:
55.86%
▼
(-0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.06%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
46.94%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
30.81%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
69.19%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
15.23%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
84.77%
▲
(+0.18)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
70.15%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
29.85%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 1.5
34.06%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
65.94%
▲
(+0.70)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5
79.63%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
20.37%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
47.22%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
52.78%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Canada
29.01%
Draw
24.76%
Suriname
46.23%
Canada
1-0
@
7.35%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.01%
2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.01%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.76%
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.76%
Suriname
0-1
@
9.67%
▲
(+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.23%
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.23%