MX23RW : Wednesday, April 24 17:28:20| >> :120:16995:16995:
[monks data]
Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

FT(HT: 1-0)
Maupay (73'), Mac Allister (78')
Maupay (26')

Preview: Burnley vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burnley welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon for their opening Premier League game of the 2021-22 campaign.

As the lowest survivors from last season, both teams will be keen to improve on their final positions, after the Clarets ended in 17th place while the Seagulls finished one spot above them in 16th.


Match preview

Chris Wood celebrates with teammates after scoring for Burnley against Crystal Palace in the Premier League on November 23, 2020© Reuters

For the sixth successive year, Burnley will be competing in the Premier League and Sean Dyche is hopeful that he will have the resources to steer the club clear of the relegation zone once again.

Aside from an impressive seventh-place finish in 2017-18, the Clarets have spent the majority of their time battling to keep their top-flight status intact and last year was no different.

Burnley endured a disappointing end to the previous campaign – losing seven of their final 10 league games – which resulted in a 17th-place finish, and so Dyche will be keen for his side to hit the ground running this time around.

The Clarets will need to address their home form if they are to have a strong campaign this year. Dyche's men are currently winless in their last 10 league games at Turf Moor – drawing and losing five each – with a 3-2 victory over Aston Villa in January their last success on home soil. Only once in their league history have they had a longer run without a win at Turf Moor, going 11 games between April and November 1979 when they were in the second tier.

Burnley also have a poor record against Saturday's opponents Brighton, having won just one of their last seven home league games against them, a narrow 1-0 Premier League win in December 2018.

After a 17-month absence, the Clarets will welcome the return of home fans this weekend and hope that their support can drive the team on to end their miserable run of form.

Burnley head into their opening fixture after winning five of their six pre-season friendlies, albeit against lesser opposition, with their only defeat against Spanish side Cadiz in their final game last weekend. With the return of a few key players, Dyche is set to name a strong side on Saturday that he will hope can secure all three points against a potential relegation rival.

Brighton & Hove Albion's Neal Maupay celebrates scoring their third goal against Newcastle United in the Premier League on March 20, 2021© Reuters

Entering their fifth consecutive Premier League campaign this season, Brighton & Hove Albion will be looking to steer themselves clear of the drop zone once again, with head coach Graham Potter also hopeful that they can push themselves much further up the table.

The Seagulls are yet to show any real progression in terms of league position, with their highest finish being 15th place in 2017-18 and 2019-20.

Last season, Brighton often failed to string a good run of results together, winning just nine of their 38 league matches and suffering 15 defeats. One positive was that they never dropped into the relegation zone, consistently maintaining a fairly comfortable gap between themselves and the bottom three and eventually finishing 13 points above Fulham in 18th place.

While being praised for their progressive style, Brighton failed to consistently deliver in the final third. Potter's men had an expected goals total of 51.7 in the Premier League last season but scored just 40 goals, meaning they found the net almost 12 times fewer than expected based on the quality of their chances.

With plenty of attacking options at his disposal, including the likes of Neal Maupay, Danny Welbeck, Aaron Connolly and Leandro Trossard, Potter needs to see their form in the final third improve if the club are to enhance their chances of Premier League survival.

Heading into the opening weekend, the Seagulls – who won just one of their three pre-season friendlies – will be hoping for a repeat of their previous two away campaign openers in the top flight, which they won 3-0 against both Newcastle United and Watford.

Brighton are also unbeaten in each of their last four encounters against Burnley, so they can take confidence to Turf Moor on Saturday. With only one of their first eight matches against a team from last season's top six, Potter will fancy his chances of a strong start to the new campaign.

Burnley form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Brighton & Hove Albion form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Burnley's Chris Wood in action pictured May 19, 2021© Reuters

Burnley expect to have key duo Nick Pope and Chris Wood available to start on Saturday. Both came through the match with Cadiz unscathed, with Pope playing his first minutes since undergoing knee surgery in May, while Wood was given the first 45 minutes after featuring for New Zealand at the 2020 Olympics.

Indeed, Wood will be an important player for Dyche if he plays this weekend; the 29-year-old has scored more goals (eight) against Brighton than he has against any other side in his English league career.

Matthew Lowton will also be available after the right-back had to miss the last two pre-season fixtures because of self-isolation rules, following a family member testing positive for coronavirus.

Two players ruled out of their season opener, however, are midfielder Dale Stephens and defender Kevin Long, who are both sidelined with respective ankle and knee injuries which led to the pair undergoing surgery at the end of last term.

Dwight McNeil has been one of Burnley's brightest sparks during pre-season and he is expected to start on the left-wing with Johann Berg Gudmundsson to play on the opposite flank.

As for Brighton, Potter has confirmed that right wing-back Tariq Lamptey (hamstring), striker Danny Welbeck (hamstring) and defender Dan Burn (knee) are all unlikely to feature in the opening game due to injury.

Lamptey has been suffering with his problem since December 2020, while Welbeck and Burn sustained their latest injuries in last month's 3-1 friendly win against Luton Town.

Club captain Lewis Dunk had an operation on his toe over the summer, but after playing in their final warm-up match against Getafe last weekend, he should be in contention to start.

Defender Adam Webster, who recently signed a new contract with the club, is set to join Dunk in the back three alongside Joel Veltman, with Solly March and Pascal Gross likely to operate in wing-back roles.

Twenty-three-year-old Enock Mwepu, who joined the club from RB Salzburg this summer, could be in line to make his debut in midfield alongside Yves Bissouma, while Maupay is expected to lead the line up front.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Cork, McNeil; Barnes, Wood

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Webster, Dunk, Veltman; March, Bissouma, Mwepu, Gross; Trossard, Mac Allister; Maupay


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

In recent years, this fixture has often been a cagey encounter with few goals scored; in fact, more than two goals have hit the net in just four of the last 14 meetings.

Another closely-fought contest, between two sides who are set to battle it out for Premier League survival, is expected on Saturday and with little to separate them, a score draw could be on the cards at Turf Moor.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



ID:459124:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect13254:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Burnley vs Brighton

Burnley
37.0%
Draw
35.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
27.8%
162
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Yves Bissouma in action for Brighton on December 16, 2020
Read Next:
What is Brighton's strongest XI for the 2021-22 season?
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Munar
Borges
7 6
5 4
Result
Navone
Popyrin
7 6
5 2
Result
Vukic
Daniel
2 77 1
6 61 6
Result
Bouzas Maneiro
Badosa
2 6 6
6 3 3
Result
Davis
Sherif
6 64 4
4 77 6
Result
Putintseva
Yuan
6 6
2 4
Result
Stephens
Trevisan
6 5 6
3 7 4
Result
Zhu
Jimenez Kasintseva
4 3
6 6
Result
Altmaier
Landaluce
6 7
1 5
11.30am
Rinderknech
Shevchenko
Result
Safiullin
Seyboth Wild
4 4
6 6
11.30am
Arango
Anisimova
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Pera
7 6
5 2
11.30am
Zhang
Rogers
Result
Osaka
Minnen
6 6
4 1
Result
Vekic
Siegemund
6 6
1 2
1pm
Darderi
Monfils
1pm
Karatsev
Marozsan
1pm
Van Assche
Bergs
1pm
Linette
Cocciaretto
1pm
Wang
Tomova
1pm
Wang
Dolehide
1.30pm
Dart
Bucsa
1.30pm
Raducanu
Lourdes Carle
2.30pm
Bronzetti
Gracheva
2.30pm
Frech
Cristian
2.30pm
Hibino
Krueger
3pm
Coric
Hassan
3pm
Kokkinakis
Draper
3pm
Nakashima
Bagnis
3pm
Van De Zandschulp
Eubanks
4pm
Baptiste
Saville
4pm
Bejlek
Blinkova
4pm
Errani
Wozniacki
4pm
Montgomery
Avanesyan
4.30pm
Klein
Llamas Ruiz
4.30pm
Burel
Danilovic
5pm
Moutet
Shang
5.30pm
Diaz Acosta
Shapovalov
6pm
Andreeva
Townsend
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!