Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du 4 Août
  • Lassina Traoré 20' goal
  • Lassina Traoré 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Olaitan 19'
  • goal Aiyegun Tosin 68'

Burkina Faso vs Benin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Benin

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.14% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.99%) , while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Burkina Faso 66.34%
Draw 22.14%
Benin 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.64%
Under 3.5 76.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.31% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burkina Faso 49.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 38.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Benin 11.69%

Team To Score First

Burkina Faso 68.58%
No Goal 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Benin 21.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 19.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 8.09%
Under 8 72.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 13.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 5.87%
Under 9 80.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 9.81%
Under 10.5 90.19%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 1.5 53.62%
Under 1.5 46.38%
Over 2.5 28.9%
Under 2.5 71.1%
Over 3.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 38.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 61.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.42%
Under 3.5 99.58%

Score analysis

Burkina Faso 66.34%
Draw 22.14%
Benin 11.53%
Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.76%
2-0 @ 13.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.04%
2-1 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 12.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 66.34%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 22.14%
Benin
0-1 @ 5.27%
1-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 11.53%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT