Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 6.00pm
Burgos 2 - 0 Real Sociedad B

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 6.00pm
Racing 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.73% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 26.56% (+0.05)
Draw 27.73%
Athletic Bilbao 45.71% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.68% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 30.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.75%
Under 2.5 55.25%
Over 3.5 23.44%
Under 3.5 76.56%
Over 4.5 12.64%
Under 4.5 87.36%

First Half Winner

Burgos 19.86% (-0.02)
Draw 46.48% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 33.66% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Burgos 32.3% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.86% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 57.84% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.09%
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 36.76%
Over 9 39.35%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 48.91%
Over 10.5 28.94% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.06% (-0.01)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 25.6% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 74.4% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 7.91% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.09% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.06% (-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 73.99% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 26.01% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.2% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.8% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.15% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.85% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burgos 26.56%
Draw 27.74%
Athletic Bilbao 45.7%
Burgos
1-0 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93% (+0.02)
Total : 26.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.74%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.14% (-0.02)
Total : 45.7%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Yuri Berchiche 2' goal
  • Florian Miguel 52' goal
  • goal Javier Marton 54'