Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2026 2.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Janik Haberer

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 35.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result

Union Berlin 35.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.18%
RB Leipzig 39.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.1% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 29.13%
Draw 36.95%
RB Leipzig 33.92%

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 44.04% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
RB Leipzig 49.5% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.65%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 32.84%
Over 9 44.13%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 44.35%
Over 10.5 33.51%
Under 10.5 66.49%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 37.23%
Under 1.5 62.77%
Over 2.5 15.28%
Under 2.5 84.72%
Over 3.5 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.58% ▲ (+0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 35.1%
Draw 25.18%
RB Leipzig 39.71%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 35.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.18%
RB Leipzig
0-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03%
Other @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.71%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Apr 24, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Max Finkgräfe 22' goal
  • Rômulo 25' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 34' yellowcard
  • Ridle Baku 63' goal
  • Brajan Gruda 68' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 68' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 70' yellowcard
  • Johan Bakayoko 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Henrichs 79' yellowcard
  • Tidiam Gomis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Klaus 31'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Ansah 59'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Ansah 60'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 60'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 60'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 61'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 61'
  • goal Danilho Doekhi 78'
  • yellowcard Livan Burcu 83'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 84'
Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Janik Haberer 37' yellowcard
  • Danilho Doekhi 54' yellowcard
  • Oliver Burke 57' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 63' goal
  • Tim Skarke 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard David Raum 50'
  • goal Tidiam Gomis 60'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Josip Juranovic 32' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 49' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Benes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 64'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Amadou Haidara 53' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 26'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 61'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 84'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lois Openda 11' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 20' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 48' goal
  • yellowcard Benedict Hollerbach 22'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 47'
  • redcard Christopher Trimmel 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Alex Kral 27' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 64' redcard
  • Robin Gosens 80' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 26'
  • goal Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 85'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 87'