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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
| 47.41% ( | 23.49% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( | 41.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( | 63.55% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( | 17.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( | 48.17% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( | 62.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.41% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.1% |