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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 29.42% ( | 23.2% ( | 47.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( | 61.89% ( |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( | 16.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( | 47.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.42% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.37% |