MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 03:16:24| >> :120:17742:17742:
[monks data]
Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Swansea logo
Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea
Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brighton & Hove Albion head into their EFL Cup third-round tie with Swansea City looking to build on their outstanding start to the new Premier League campaign.

While the Seagulls sit in the top four of English football's first tier, Swansea are currently down in 21st place in the Championship.


Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter on September 11, 2021© Reuters

If reports are to be believed, Tottenham Hotspur were among a number of clubs who opted against pulling the trigger on the appointment of Graham Potter during the summer.

However, their loss has been Brighton's gain with Potter and his squad seemingly moving up a level over the opening five weeks of the season.

The Seagulls have been efficient over entertaining, scoring just seven goals during their four wins, but it has provided the club with the springboard for better things to come during 2021-22.

Potter has always taken a different approach to EFL Cup fixtures, naming teams completely made up of prospects and Under-23 players on many occasions.

That said, with several of the players who featured during the victory over Cardiff City last month having since gone out on loan, Potter may start to view this competition as one that his side could win.

Swansea City manager Russell Martin pictured on August 28, 2021© Reuters

As far as Swansea are concerned, life under new boss Russell Martin has been somewhat of a slow burner given the success of his predecessor Steve Cooper.

However, their astonishing comeback at Luton Town could act as the catalyst that they have desperately required, the Welsh side fighting back from a three-goal half-time deficit.

Martin is unlikely to have many ambitions for this competition, but Wednesday night is a chance for some of his players to gain match fitness and play without the pressures of the second tier.

Swansea have reached this stage of the competition with comprehensive victories over Reading and Plymouth Argyle respectively.

Brighton & Hove Albion EFL Cup form:
  • W

Brighton & Hove Albion form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Swansea City EFL Cup form:
  • W
  • W

Swansea City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Brighton and Hove Albion defender Tariq Lamptey pictured on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Potter will almost certainly make 11 changes to his Brighton XI, potentially handing a start to Tariq Lamptey after his recent return to the substitutes bench.

Jakub Moder could deputise at left-back, while Haydon Roberts and Taylor Richards should feature at centre-back and in central midfield respectively.

With Andi Zeqiri having recently gone out on loan, Aaron Connolly is in line to lead the attack.

While Martin will not make as many alterations as his opposite number, he will likely look to bring in fresh legs in several areas.

Ben Cabango, Joel Latibeaudiere, Korey Smith, Jay Fulton and Yan Dhanda are among the players who could feature at the Amex Stadium.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Steele; Lamptey, Roberts, Burn, Moder; Mwepu, Alzate, Richards; Gross, Connolly, Mac Allister

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Benda; Cabango, Latibeaudiere, Williams; Laird, Smith, Fulton, Manning; Dhanda, Whittaker; Piroe


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Swansea City

Despite the likelihood of changes being made for this contest, we still expect Brighton to come through this fixture. Swansea have the potential to cause a surprise, but competition for places should inspire a strong Seagulls performance.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:464519:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9968:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Brighton vs Swansea

Brighton & Hove Albion
77.9%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
10.0%
140
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter celebrates after the match on August 24, 2021
Read Next:
Brighton boss Graham Potter understanding of reasons for not releasing players
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!