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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Monaco

Brest
1 - 0
Monaco

Faivre (8')
Belkebla (7'), Mounie (68'), Lasne (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins (37'), Volland (52'), Biancone (72'), Matsima (84')

Preview: Brest vs. Monaco - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Monaco, including team news and predicted lineups.

Brest will be aiming to recover from their agonising defeat to Angers when they play host to Monaco at the Stade Francis-Le Ble on Sunday afternoon.

In contrast, Monaco are looking to win successive matches in Ligue 1 following their 3-2 victory over Strasbourg last weekend.


Match preview

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Brest's fortunes seemed to be improving following two early losses to Nimes and Marseille, as Olivier Dall'Oglio soon witnessed his side pick up six points from their encounters with Dijon and Lorient.

However, Les Pirates were sent crashing back down to earth during their trip to Angers, although it took two late goals from Ismael Traore and Angelo Fulgini for the hosts to edge a five-goal thriller with Brest last Sunday.

Brest's first five games in the 2020-21 campaign have been packed with goals; Dall'Oglio's men have scored nine thus far - the highest outside the top five - but Les Pirates have also let in a 12 at the other end of the pitch.

Monaco's formidable attacking stars will certainly be taking no prisoners against a Brest side who have conceded the most goals in the division, but the visitors did not dominate a struggling Strasbourg side by any means in gameweek five.

Bayern Munich manager Niko Kovac pictured on March 2, 2019© Reuters

Monaco suffered their first defeat of the season in a top-of-the-table clash with Rennes in gameweek four, so a clash with an out-of-sorts Strasbourg side was just what Niko Kovac's men needed to boost their confidence and get back to winning ways.

While Les Monegasques did end up taking the spoils in that fixture, Monaco did not make it easy for themselves at all as Axel Disasi and Aurelien Tchouameni were both given their marching orders in the second half.

But with Wissam Ben Yedder up top, Monaco fans can rest easy knowing that the Frenchman is there to bail them out when needed - the 30-year-old's brace paved the way for a slender victory for Les Monegasques against Thierry Laurey's men last weekend.

Monaco will certainly not be underestimating Brest given the manner of their victory against Strasbourg, but should other results go their way, Kovac's side have a slim chance of going top by the close of play this weekend.

However, that scenario is highly unlikely, with Rennes and Lille both looking forward to clashes with struggling sides in Reims and Strasbourg respectively.

Brest and Monaco met last season for the first time since the 2010-11 campaign, and Les Monegasques cruised to a 4-1 victory in that encounter.

Brest Ligue 1 form: LLWWL

Monaco Ligue 1 form: DWWLW


Team News

Monaco's Axel Disasi pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Brest's Denys Bain is expected to remain sidelined until 2021 as he recovers from a cruciate ligament rupture, while the hosts will also have to do without centre-back Christophe Herelle due to concussion.

Steve Mounie and Gaetan Charbonnier will both look to keep their places up top after netting against Angers, while Franck Honorat and Romain Philippoteaux are in contention to come back in on the flanks.

Meanwhile, Kovac will be travelling to Brest without the suspended Disasi and Tchouameni, while Guillermo Maripan is being linked with a move to the Premier League.

Jemerson could therefore be recalled to the side in place of Disasi, while Sofiane Diop is an option in the midfield three alongside Cesc Fabregas and Youssouf Fofana.

Aleksandr Golovin is still struggling with a hamstring injury but could return to action later this month.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Duverne, Chardonnet, Perraud; Diallo, Belkebla; Honorat, Charbonnier, Philippoteaux; Mounie

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Aguilar, Badiashile, Jemerson, Ballo-Toure; Fofana, Fabregas, Diop; Volland, Ben Yedder, Onyekuru


SM words green background

We say: Brest 1-2 Monaco

Monaco will be without a couple of key players for their trip to Brest, but the visitors have the attacking firepower to overcome most teams on their day. Brest should feel capable of coming away from this game with something to show for their efforts, but we are backing Monaco to get over the line and record a second victory in succession.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
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11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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