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Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Mar 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Brentford logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Brentford

Buendia (26')
Vrancic (51'), Hernandez (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reid (41')

Preview: Norwich City vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Norwich City and Brentford square off on Wednesday evening as the top two clubs in the Championship look to move a step closer to Premier League promotion.

The home side currently hold a seven-point advantage courtesy of winning five games in a row, capitalising on a brief lull in form from the Bees.


Match preview

Norwich City's Oliver Skipp in action with Wycombe Wanderers' Anis Mehmeti in the Championship on February 28, 2021© Reuters

Norwich were not necessarily at their best against Wycombe Wanderers on Sunday afternoon, eventually sealing a 2-0 victory through Adam Idah's late goal.

However, Daniel Farke is prioritising points over performances at this stage of the season, and the German will be increasingly optimistic that the Canaries can seal an immediate return to the Premier League.

Swansea's two matches in hand ensure that complacency will not become an issue behind the scenes at Carrow Road, but holding a 10-point advantage over third-placed Watford puts Norwich in a favourable position.

Teemu Pukki has been outstanding in recent weeks, scoring in five successive fixtures with a total of seven strikes coming during that period.

As much praise should be given to the team's defensive unit, which has conceded just two goals since the defeat at Swansea on February 5.

Brentford's Vitaly Janelt celebrates after scoring their first goal on February 27, 2021© Reuters

At a time when Norwich have been finding a way to maintain a potentially-decisive winning streak, Brentford have been forced to overcome the disappointment of an unforeseen loss in form.

Three defeats in a row have left Thomas Frank's side off the pace in the race for the title, but victories over Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City have got the Bees back on track.

Frank will be encouraged that their triumph at the weekend came after falling behind to a first-minute goal, the winner eventually being scored by the returning Ivan Toney.

Brentford are a different side without their leading talisman in their side, and his return from a minor injury could prove to be significant over the coming weeks.

The reverse fixture in October ended in a 1-1 draw with Kenny McLean's 87th-minute effort cancelling out Toney's opener in the first half.

Norwich City Championship form: LWWWWW

Brentford Championship form: WLLLWW


Team News

Todd Cantwell celebrates scoring for Norwich City on March 4, 2020© Reuters

Todd Cantwell remains a major doubt for Norwich after missing the game at the weekend due to a calf problem.

Przemyslaw Placheta is in contention to feature on the left flank, but the remainder of the starting XI could remain the same.

Mathias Jensen and Sergi Canos could return to the Brentford side after featuring as substitutes against Stoke.

Christian Norgaard will remain among the replacements, while Pontus Jansson and Rico Henry are still sidelined for the Bees.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Giannoulis; McLean, Skipp; Buendia, Vrancic, Placheta; Pukki

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Dalsgaard, Pinnock, Reid, Sorensen; Dasilva, Janelt, Jansen; Mbeumo, Toney, Canos


SM words green background

We say: Norwich City 1-1 Brentford

While both teams will want all three points on Wednesday night, Norwich know that they will still benefit from a share of the spoils. With that in mind, we expect the home side to take fewer risks, potentially settling for a point if Brentford push forward during the closing stages.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Norwich vs Brentford

Norwich City
53.2%
Draw
25.4%
Brentford
21.4%
126
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Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on February 10, 2021
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