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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Boavista

Braga
2 - 2
Boavista

Medeiros (25'), Horta (52')
Elmusrati (49'), Sequeira (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Musa (12'), Njie (89')
Perez (39'), Vukotic (43'), Porozo (65'), Njie (90'), Gorre (90+7')

Preview: Braga vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga will be looking to build on their impressive Europa League victory over Midtjylland when they welcome Boavista to the Estadio Municipal de Braga on Saturday.

The visitors, on the other hand, head into the game seeking to get one over their hosts having lost in both home and away fixtures last season.


Match preview

Braga's Ricardo Horta celebrates scoring their second goal on September 30, 2021© Reuters

Braga picked up their first win in Group F of the Europa League when they comfortably saw off Midtjylland 3-1 in Portugal last Thursday.

After Evander's 19th-minute spot kick handed the Danish outfit a one-goal lead heading into the interval, Os Arcebispos upped the ante and turned the game on its head through Ricardo Horta's 62nd-minute strike and a brace from 23-year-old Brazilian Wenderson Galeno.

However, Braga will now return to the Primeira Liga where they continue to distance themselves from the "Big Three" in the upper echelons of the table as they were held to a 1-1 draw by struggling Santa Clara last Sunday.

Following a drab first half at the Estadio de Sao Miguel, the game sparked into life in the 71st minute when Paulo Oliveira put the visitors in front before Lincoln snatched a 95th-minute equaliser to end the Os Acoreanos' run of two consecutive league defeats.

Carlos Carvalhal's side have now managed one win from their last four outings, while dropping points in four of their seven this season, and this shaky form has seen them fall to fifth place in the Primeira Liga table, nine points adrift of league leaders Benfica.

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Boavista failed to make it two wins from two games in all competitions as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Estoril Praia at the Estadio do Bessa last time out.

Brazilian midfielder Gustavo Sauer converted his penalty midway through the first half to hand the hosts a 1-0 lead heading into the break, before Andre Franco struck in the 71st minute to salvage a point for the newly-promoted side.

Prior to that, Joao Pedro Sousa's men pulled off an impressive comeback to secure a 2-1 win at Pacos de Ferreira in their Taca da Liga Group C curtain-raiser last Thursday.

Boavista head into Sunday's game without a win in each of their most recent four league outings, claiming three draws and losing one since successive wins over Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara back in August.

This slump in form has seen Os Axadrezados drop to eighth place in the table, and while they will be seeking to return to winning ways, they face an opposing side who have picked up eight wins and three draws in the last 15 encounters between the teams.

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D

Braga form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Boavista form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D


Team News

Braga coach Carlos Carvalhal in February 2021© Reuters

Braga head into the game without a few key players as the defensive duo of David Carmo and Rolando continue their spells on the sidelines through injuries.

Spanish international Abel Ruiz is also out of contention for Os Arcebispos after coming off injured midway through the clash against Tondela two Mondays ago.

Vitor Tormena missed the game against Midtjylland last time out after failing to shake off an injury he sustained against Santa Clara and the Brazilian defender is a major doubt this weekend.

Meanwhile, Boavista will take to the pitch without the services of former Nice defender Yanis Hamache, who came off with a 25th-minute injury against Benfica two weeks back.

The Frenchman is joined in the club's injury table by Reggie Cannon, who sustained an injury while on international duty against Mexico in August, while Sporting Lisbon loanee Tiago Ilori also misses out through injury.

However, Os Axadrezados will be boosted by the return of veteran midfielder Javi Garcia, who played the full 90 minutes against Estoril Praia last time out following a one-month injury absence.

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Oliveira, Leite; Fabiano, Mineiro, Musrati, Galeno; Horta, Gonzalez, Medeiros

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Beiranvand; Garcia, Porozo, Abascal; Malheiro, Nathan, Perez, Hamache; Njie, Musa, Sauer


SM words green background

We say: Braga 2-1 Boavista

Following their disappointing draw against Santa Clara, Braga picked up a morale booster last time out courtesy of their first Europa League victory. Boavista, who have enjoyed a decent campaign so far, will be seeking to end their dry spell, but we anticipate the hosts will build on their latest performance and come away with all three points in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Braga vs Boavista

Braga
79.2%
Draw
20.8%
Boavista
0.0%
24
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Braga coach Carlos Carvalhal in February 2021
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