Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 0
Universidad

Jesus (38', 38')
Cuiabano (59'), Cuiabano (59'), John (66'), John (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gabriel Guerrero Pena (32'), Gabriel Guerrero Pena (32'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (45+6'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (45+6'), Calderon (88'), Calderon (88'), Altamirano (90+1'), Altamirano (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Universidad de Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Capital Brasilia 1-0 Botafogo
Friday, May 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Universidad de Chile

All competitions
Last Game: Universidad 4-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Universidad de Chile win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawUniversidad de Chile
61.24% (0.504 0.5)20.74% (-0.398 -0.4)18.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.69% (1.157 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (1.629 1.63)40.72% (-1.635 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (1.647 1.65)63.11% (-1.654 -1.65)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.661 0.66)12.83% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (1.345 1.35)39.17% (-1.351 -1.35)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.844 0.84)36.1% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.848 0.85)72.88% (-0.855 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 61.24%
    Universidad de Chile 18.02%
    Draw 20.74%
BotafogoDrawUniversidad de Chile
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.24%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.74%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Universidad

Botafogo
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Universidad de Chile
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Universidad
1-0
Botafogo
Di Yorio (59')
Fernandez (26'), Sepulveda (75'), Aranguiz (90+3'), Guerra (90+5')

de Paula (26'), Gregore (47'), Jeffinho (90+1'), Jesus (90+5')
Jesus (90+6')