Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.92% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%) , while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.