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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Portimonense

Benfica
0 - 1
Portimonense


Yaremchuk (12'), Nunez (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Possignolo (66')
Boa Morte (44'), Carlinhos (60'), Possignolo (62'), Portugal (80'), Willyan (90')

Preview: Benfica vs. Portimonense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of a rare victory over Spanish giants Barcelona, Benfica welcome Portimonense to the Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Sunday.

Meanwhile, the visitors played out an uneventful goalless draw against Vizela last time out and will be aiming to return to winning ways and move into the top six in the Primeira Liga table.


Match preview

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates scoring against Boavista on September 20, 2021© Reuters

Benfica picked up their first win in Group E of the Champions League when they stunned La Liga powerhouses Barcelona to a 3-0 win in Portugal last Wednesday.

The game was off to a flyer when Darwin Nunez opened the scoring after just two minutes, and after Rafa Silva doubled the lead in the 69th minute, Nunez completed the rout with his second strike of the game to cap off a stellar individual performance.

That dominant display was in keeping with their solid run of results domestically, where they maintained their 100% record in the Portuguese top-flight last Saturday courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes.

They currently lead the way in the league standings, with a four-point cushion on second-place Porto, and this fine start has been down to a solid job at both ends of the pitch as they boast the league's best attacking record with 19 goals while conceding just four to date.

Benfica head into Sunday's game unbeaten in their most recent 18 matches across all competitions, picking up 15 wins and three draws since a 2-0 loss against Braga in May's Taca de Portugal final.

Benfica's Gilberto celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in August 2021© Reuters

Portimonense, on the other hand, were denied a second consecutive victory last time out when they were held to a goalless draw by Vizela.

This followed a 2-1 victory over Santa Clara at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao, where Wilinton Aponza and Lucas Fernandes scored either side of Rui Costa's equaliser to end their two-game winless run.

Portimonense, who are currently sixth in the table, have struggled to get going in attack, but their defensive sturdiness has played a major role in their fine start to the season as they have picked up three clean sheets and allowed just four goals in their opening seven games.

While Paulo Sergio will hope his side can keep the ball rolling, next up is a rampant Benfica side who are unbeaten in the last five meetings between the sides, picking up four draws and one draw since a 2-0 loss back in 2019.

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Benfica form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D


Team News

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Jorge Jesus will be unable to call upon the services of Portuguese forward Diogo Goncalves, who sustained an injury in the game against Boavista two weeks back.

While Harris Seferovic is nearing a return to full fitness, he remains out of contention for Benfica after picking up an injury while on international duty with Switzerland.

Mile Svilar, who last featured for Serbia versus Qatar on August 1, is also recuperating from an injury, while major doubts are cast over Valentino Lazaro, who was hauled off injured on the stroke of half time against Barcelona last time out.

In the absence of the Inter Milan loanee, Brazilian defender Gilberto could come in for his third starting appearance of the campaign.

With his two strikes last time out, Darwin Nunez has taken his tally to six for the season across all competitions, and we expect the Uruguayan forward to once again handle business in attack this weekend.

Fabricio returned to action as a substitute last weekend for the first time since picking up a knee injury against Vitoria de Guimaraes in the league curtain-raiser back in August and the Portimonense forward could be thrown into the starting XI on Sunday.

Meanwhile, 27-year-old Shoya Nakajima still awaits his first appearance for the club as the Porto loanee continues his spell on the sidelines through injury.

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Otamendi, Vertonghen, Morato; Gilberto, Mario, Weigl, Grimaldo; Pizzi, Yaremchuk, Nunez

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Rocha, Pedrao, Cande; Oliveira, Fernandes, Carlinhos, Ewerton; Aponza, Fabricio


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 2-0 Portimonense

Despite their impressive league position, Portimonense have struggled to put together a fine run of form this season due to a lock of firepower in attack. They take on a free-scoring Benfica side, who head into the game in sky-high confidence following their victory over Barcelona. We are tipping Benfica to claim a comfortable win and continue their early charge for the title.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Benfica vs Portimonense

Benfica
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
4.0%
25
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Benfica's Rafa Silva scores against Barcelona in the Champions League on September 29, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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